And Then There Was One
Written by Daily Options Report - 12/14/09

I still can’t explain why you would take a cell phone call in this situation. It’s about as logical as running this picture when you are not mentioning Home Depot.
Anyway, Best Buy reports tomorrow. If you’re looking to an options board for clues this close to expiration, you really need to forget the near-month volatility reading. It’s just a dollar amount at this point.
Take BBY. Dec. options trade with a 60 full about double where they’d be without earnings on. So expectations of a big move? Not really, it’s a bit misleading. With the stock at $45, the Dec. 45 straddle is trading at about $2.60. It’s not going to go to zero if BBY doesn’t budge, but it’s probably going to $1 or under. So that’s about all we’re talking about here.
Another way to look at it is thru the JAn. options. They carry a high 30’s volatiltiy and will likely go down to about 30 vol. That translates to maybe a 5% move, really not much considering there is some real interest in seeing what BBY says about the holiday season.

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And Then There Was One
Daily Options Report
Adam Warner is the author of Options Volatility Trading: Strategies for Profiting from Market Swings due for release in October 2009 from McGraw Hill. He co-wrote the options column on Street Insight from spring 2003 to spring 2005, and is currently Options Editor at Minyanville.com.
When not writing, Adam is a proprietary option trader with Addormar Co, Inc. He traded as a member of the American Stock Exchange from 1988-2001, and in several off-floor locations since then.
Adam Warner graduated Johns Hopkins University with a degree in Economics.
Options Volatility Trading: Strategies for Profiting from Market Swings
"Options Volatility Trading educates novice to intermediate investors on the nuances of the volatility index (VIX), the psychology behind it, and the best strategies to employ during dramatic market shifts. It provides a solid grounding in historical volatility patterns, distortions created by market noise, and how to use tools other than VIX."
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