American International Group, Inc. engages in the provision of insurance products and services for the commercial, institutional, and individual customers in the United States and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Chartis, SunAmerica Financial Group, and Aircraft Leasing. The Chartis segment offers casualty insurance products that cover general liability, commercial automobile liability, workers’ compensation, excess casualty, and crisis management coverages. It also provides personal accidental and supplemental health products, including accidental death and disability, accidental medical reimbursement, hospital indemnity, and medical excess. The SunAmerica Financial Group segment offers term life, universal life, accident & health, fixed and variable deferred annuities, fixed payout annuities, mutual funds, and financial planning products and services. The Aircraft Leasing segment acquires and leases commercial jet aircraft to airlines. The company is also involved in the issuance of residential mortgage guaranty insurance that covers mortgage lenders, as well as derivatives intermediary activities.
To review American International’s stock, please take a look at the 1-year chart of AIG (American International Group, Inc.) below with my added notations:
After trending higher from November through April of this year, AIG corrected in May and has settled within a small rectangle pattern over the last (2) months. A rectangle pattern forms when a stock gets stuck bouncing between a horizontal support and resistance. For AIG, the rectangle pattern has formed a $35 resistance (red) and a $32.50 support (green), which was also the resistance for AIG’s previous rectangle formation of June/July. Not only would a break above $35 be a resistance break, but it would also be a 52-week high breakout.
The Tale of the Tape: AIG has formed another small rectangle pattern. The possible long positions on AIG would be either on a pullback to $32.50, or on a break above $35. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break below $32.50 with an expectation of a drop back down to $30.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
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